Get Trade Alerts

Signup for super-trades.com Free Email List!

Enter your Email


Preview | Powered by FeedBlitz
To subscribe to the Super Stocks Blog by RSS feeder click on :

Subscribe to: Posts (Atom)


Friday, December 10, 2010

Will TCCO make a monster run like TASR?

In this article, after they received the $9.7m Order for Afghanistan Radios, officials said 2010 sales would be $20m. Read Article

For the 9 months ended June 2010, they had recorded $14.6m of sales and $2.72 of EPS. That means the 4th quarter could be $5-$6m of sales. Q3 ending June 2010 has $6.3m of sales and $1.29 of EPS. Q4 could be approximately $5-6m of sales and $0.80-$1.30 for the fourth quarter. That would leave them with EPS of $3.52-$4.02 for the year and a P/E of 3-4 even with the Friday close in the $14’s. Imagine $3.50-$4 EPS with any kind of decent P/E? From what I read in the last 10-Q they still have over $3m of tax loss carryforwards. The comparable they are up against from last years Q4 is $0.16 EPS. So If my numbers are close to being correct, we could see a headline such as $0.80-$1.30 EPS vs $0.16 in the prior year quarter.

They have said that business was exceptional this year because of the April order of $9.7m for Afghanistan. However they have since received two orders totaling $5.2m for 2011 in Afghanistan and are rolling out new products.

Per the Company, “Backlog at June 26, 2010 amounted to $10,060,000. The orders in backlog are expected to ship during the 2010 and 2011 fiscal years depending on customer requirements and product availability.” Since then they have received the additional $5.2m in orders.

Read 10-Q

With only 1.8m shares o/s and a float of 1.4m, with this EPS and the strength of this sector, it is easy to see why this could become a monster momentum stock. This is a US company founded in 1961 with a P/E of 3-4 and a clean Balance Sheet.

Here is a great article I found on the Company. Read Article

They report Monday morning. Management is always cautious with guidance. They say Earnings could return to a normal level without Afghanistan. However Afghanistan orders are continuing and they are rolling out new products. AAPL also sandbags guidance every quarter. If my number estimates are remotely correct this could be the beginning of a monster run and a new momentum stock and I will add. If I am wrong (and I could be missing something? Taxes?), my average is in the $12’s - so there you have it.

No comments:

DISCLAIMER

super-trades.com is simply a blog that has information on stocks that the author Superman, likes or may trade. The author may, and usually does have positions in some of the stocks discussed on the site or in email alerts and is under no obligation to disclose the size of the position or the time that it was acquired. The author also reserves the right to buy or sell at ANY time before during or after it is mentioned on this site or an email alert, with no notice or warnings. The posts are not at all intended to be recommendations for anyone else to buy, sell, or hold. Investors should not rely on the information given by this site to make investment decisions.


No contributor of the his site is a registered investment advisor or a broker / dealer. We DO NOT recommend whether to buy, sell, or hold securities . Although we believe the information on this site to be accurate, we DO NOT GUARANTEE the accurateness and completeness of statements made regarding stocks discussed on the site or in email alerts.

The performance section provides information to the public on selected stocks profiled by this site. Past performance should not be used as an indicator of future performances. We try the make the past performance section as accurate as possible but DO NOT GUARANTEE that the information is accurate.

This web site and all email alerts sent by this site contain "forward looking statements" within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21B of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. Any statements that express or involve discussions with respect to predictions, expectations, beliefs, plans, projections, objectives, goals, assumptions or future events or performance are not statements of historical fact and may be "forward looking statements." Forward looking statements are based on expectations, estimates and projections at the time the statements are made that involve a number of risks and uncertainties which could cause actual results or events to differ materially from those presently anticipated. Forward looking statements in this action may be identified through the use of words such as "expects", "will," "anticipates," "estimates," believes," or statements indicating certain actions "may," "could," or "might" occur.

If any part of this disclaimer is not clear, please take the time to consult an attorney or investment specialist. Please take caution in all investment endeavors and good luck to all.

Again, My messages are not investment advice, investment solicitation or the like. Do not take action based on my messages. I do not guarantee or make claims to the accuracy of anything I post. I may buy or sell any securities I mention at anytime, even prior to posting. It is my opinion, that individuals should perform their own due diligence before investing in any stock at anytime and not base decisions on messages posted by other individuals. Individuals should assume 100% responsibility for their own investing. My messages are for my own entertainment only. LOW FLOAT stocks in particular can be volatile and are not for new traders in my opinion. I am not a registered investment advisor in any shape or form, please do not ask me for ANY investment advice.

Welcome to super-trades.com, blog home of Superman. Purpose of this blog is for me to discuss my trades and stock ideas (As well as opinions and rants on stock market related issues). I will mention the date and price I enter. As far as exits, I always try to take half off when I have some profit and if I believe in the stock, let the rest run further. I always also use mental stop limits, at which time I would exit and minimize any losses. I do not like to give price targets unless I can support them by P/E in some way or by comparison to another stock. I just post stock trades and ideas that I believe will go higher (or lower for shorts) and the reason I believe that. Individuals should have their own strategies for managing profits and losses. My stock picks tend to NOT be daytrades at all and many take time to move. I am not an investment advisor and this blog should not be considered or followed as investment advice.