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Monday, November 16, 2009

HWG - 500k Float and $10 EPS Run Rate

DIT was a stock I blogged and bought on April 22, 2009 at $32 Read Blog Post. At the time I said the Company would do $10-$12 EPS this year. They reported $10.87 of EPS from continuing operations. DIT hit $71.75, 143 days after my blog post, for a 124% gain so far from the blog post.

I believe I have found a stock with similar characteristics as DIT. I think this stock over 1-12 months could make a similar move as DIT based on similar EPS.

Warning - Stocks that have such a low float and number of shares outstanding can trade thin and be very volatile. They can drop several dollars on low volume. I never take large positions in such stocks and I always understand that they can be illiquid and have risks.

HWG - Hallwood Group Inc. See Bloomberg
Shares Outstanding - 1.5m
Float 500k
EPS for Q3 - $2.67 per share Read Press Release
EPS for 9 Months of 2009 $6.94 per share

Industry Textile - Hallwood Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the textile and energy businesses in the United States. It develops and markets fabrics, including breathable, waterproof laminate, and other fabrics for use in military clothing and equipment, sailcloth, medical equipment, industrial applications, and consumer apparel. The company’s products include woven synthetic products, and woven and coated nylon products. It also operates as a converter, finisher, and laminator in the textile industry.

Strong Textile Sales to Military: See Website
We serve the specialized fabric needs of the contractors who supply all branches of the armed services, including the Department of Defense, Department of Justice, United States Postal Service, United States Forestry Service, and others.

The Military Group offers diverse products ranging from fabrics that meet our soldiers’ basic needs to the highly technical performance fabrics for combat and special forces requirements.

Military sales of $32,415,000 and $92,845,000 for the 2009 third quarter and nine month periods, respectively, were 52.9% and 14.4% higher than the comparable periods in 2008 of $21,194,000 and $81,148,000.

Among branded products that Brookwood manufactures are the following:

•ASSAULT
•BARRIER ASSAULT TEXTILE TECHNOLOGY
•BATT
•GLACIER X-TREME
•STORM-TECH
•X 202 U.S.A.

Litigation : The Company is involved in some litigation that they believe they will win but should be noted. Per Note 11 on pages 21-22 of Form 10-q Read Note 11

super-trades.com analysis:

Small position at $40 with a 1-12 month target range of $60-$100

Friday, November 6, 2009

14 Stocks Blogged in 2009 - Average Gain 111% Average Time to Peak 47 Days

14 super-trades.com Stock Ideas Blogged in 2009
Average Gain 111%
Average Trading Days From Mention to Peak 47 Days
Range of Gains 45% to 257%
Range of Trading Days From Mention to Peak 2 days to 143 days
13 of 14 still above original entry price (although I am not long term trader)

3 New stocks in progress TMI, EDS, IDI Read Blog Post


TRIT 139% Gain Called at $8.50 on Sep 9th Hit $20.33, 26 days later on Oct 14th. Read Blog Post

RINO 257% Gain Called at $7.65 on June 16th. Hit $27.30, 87 days later on Oct 14th. Read Blog Post

AIM 77% Gain Called at $4.20 on June 15th Hit $7.44, 2 days later on June 16th. Read Blog Post

SKBO.OB (now SKBI) 104% Gain Called at $11.00 on June 5th Hit $22.49, 18 days later on June 29th. Read Blog Post

EVK 62% Gain Called at $1.85 on June 2nd Hit $3, 4 days later on June 5th. Read Blog Post

UTA 124% Gain Called at $7.60 on May 29th Hit $17.20, 49 days later on August 5th. Read Blog Post

SMCG 67% Gain Called at $1.35 on May 21st Hit $2.27, 11 days later on June 4th. Read Blog Post

MRM 109% Gain Called at $6.40 on May 19th Hit $13.38, 16 days later on June 9th. Read Blog Post

FIT 153% Gain Called at $3.50 on May 7th. Hit $8.87, 56 days later on July 23rd. Read Blog Post

JVA 58% Gain Called at $3.15 on May 6th Hit $5.21, 101 days later on Sep 23rd. Read Blog Post

DIT 124% Gain Called at $32 on April 22nd. Hit $71.75, 143 days later on Nov 6th. Read Blog Post

VIFL 122% Gain Called at $1.35 on March 26th Hit $3, 15 days later on April 13th. Read Blog Post

NIV 45% Gain Called at $3.80 on March 17th Hit $5.50, 2 days later on March 18th. Read Blog Post

LZR 140% Gain Called at $5.40 on December 23,2008. Hit $11.14, 125 days later on June 15th. Read Blog Post

650k Float TMI retires 19% of warrants = bullish

less warrants - less dilution = higher EPS


China MediaExpress Holdings, Inc. Repurchases and Retires 1.9 Million Warrants in Private Transaction


Press Release
Source: China MediaExpress Holdings, Inc.
On 8:45 am EST, Friday November 6, 2009
Buzz up! 0 Print.FUJIAN, China--(BUSINESS WIRE)--China MediaExpress Holdings, Inc. (NYSE Amex: TMI; TMI/U; TMI/WS) (“CME” or the “Company”) today announced that it has repurchased and retired a total of 1.9 million of its publicly-traded warrants in a private transaction, for an aggregate purchase price of $950,000 ($0.50 per warrant). The repurchase of these warrants, which represent approximately 19% of all of CME’s publicly-traded warrants, was made pursuant to a warrant repurchase agreement dated October 12, 2009, which was amended on November 1, 2009. All of the terms of the remaining publicly-traded warrants remain the same.

Zheng Cheng, CME’s Founder and CEO, noted, “We believe it to be in the long-term interest of our shareholders to repurchase and retire these warrants thereby eliminating the dilution that would have occurred in the event these warrants were exercised.”

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Welcome to super-trades.com, blog home of Superman. Purpose of this blog is for me to discuss my trades and stock ideas (As well as opinions and rants on stock market related issues). I will mention the date and price I enter. As far as exits, I always try to take half off when I have some profit and if I believe in the stock, let the rest run further. I always also use mental stop limits, at which time I would exit and minimize any losses. I do not like to give price targets unless I can support them by P/E in some way or by comparison to another stock. I just post stock trades and ideas that I believe will go higher (or lower for shorts) and the reason I believe that. Individuals should have their own strategies for managing profits and losses. My stock picks tend to NOT be daytrades at all and many take time to move. I am not an investment advisor and this blog should not be considered or followed as investment advice.